Signal and NoiseData · Context · Perspective Subscribe
Blockchain · From the archive

Euro stablecoins were 0.2% of the market in March 2025

Tether and USD Coin alone were worth $204 billion. Every euro-pegged coin together: $479 million. MiCA was meant to change that.

First published on ja-content.xyz, 30 March 2025.

$233.7bn
Total stablecoin market cap, 30 March 2025
$204bn
Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC) combined
$479m
All euro-pegged stablecoins combined
−28%
Fall in total crypto market cap from end-2024 high

The cryptocurrency market is often synonymous with volatility; wild price swings that capture headlines and deter mainstream adoption for everyday use. Yet, beneath the surface of Bitcoin surges and altcoin dips, a quieter revolution has been brewing, powered by digital assets designed for stability: stablecoins.

While already crucial infrastructure within the crypto ecosystem, 2025 is shaping up to be a potential watershed year where stablecoins could break further into the mainstream, driven by maturing payment solutions, increasing regulatory clarity, and growing institutional interest.

For years, stablecoins have been the essential plumbing of the digital asset world. But now, the pipes are being connected directly to the real economy. Let’s explore why 2025 could mark a significant inflection point.

What are stablecoins? A quick refresher

Before diving into the future, let’s establish the foundation. Stablecoins are a class of cryptocurrencies designed to minimise price volatility by pegging their market value to an external reference, typically a fiat currency like the US dollar. They fall into several main categories:

Fiat-collateralised: These are the most common type. Each stablecoin unit is purportedly backed 1:1 by reserves of the corresponding fiat currency (or highly liquid equivalents like short-term government debt) held in traditional bank accounts or treasuries. Examples include Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC). Transparency and auditability of these reserves remain key discussion points.

Crypto-collateralised: These stablecoins are backed by a basket of other cryptocurrencies held in smart contracts. To account for the volatility of the underlying collateral, they are typically over-collateralised (e.g. $1.50 worth of ETH might back $1.00 of the stablecoin). DAI (MakerDAO) is the prime example.

Algorithmic stablecoins: These aim to maintain their peg through automated algorithms that manage the token supply, often using complex arbitrage mechanisms and sometimes involving companion tokens. This category faced immense scrutiny and setbacks after the dramatic collapse of TerraUSD (UST) in 2022, highlighting their inherent fragility if not designed impeccably. Newer models continue to emerge, but carry significant risk perception.

(Emerging) yield-bearing / synthetic stablecoins: Newer concepts like Ethena’s USDe aim for stability and yield through delta-neutral derivatives strategies, representing a more complex and potentially riskier approach often debated regarding its ‘stablecoin’ classification.

Figure 1 Four ways to hold a peg, with very different risks Stablecoin designs, from the most common to the most debated
Fiat-collateralised

Backed 1:1 by cash or short-term government debt held by the issuer. USDT, USDC. Reserve transparency is the open question.

Crypto-collateralised

Backed by other crypto in smart contracts, over-collateralised to absorb swings ($1.50 of ETH for $1). DAI.

Algorithmic

Peg held by expanding and shrinking supply. TerraUSD’s 2022 collapse showed the fragility.

Yield-bearing / synthetic

Stability and yield from delta-neutral derivatives, like Ethena’s USDe. Whether it counts as a stablecoin is debated.

Source: Signal and Noise, after the original article.

At the time of writing, the total market capitalisation of stablecoins hovers around $233.68 billion, according to data from aggregators like DefiLlama.

Figure 2 Stablecoins recovered from the Terra collapse to a new high of $233.68bn Total stablecoin market capitalisation, US$ billion, to 30 March 2025
Jan ’22 Jan ’23 Jan ’24 Jan ’25 050100150200250 Stablecoins 234 Pre-Terra peak
Source: DefiLlama. Values before 30 March 2025 are read from DefiLlama’s chart and approximate.

USDT ($144 billion) and USDC ($60 billion) alone account for the vast majority of the stablecoin market cap. This clearly shows that there is a large preference for US-pegged stablecoins over euro-pegged ones, which only make up a very small proportion of the total stablecoin market cap ($479 million).

Figure 3 Two dollar coins held 87% of the market; euro coins 0.2% Stablecoin market capitalisation by coin and peg, 30 March 2025, US$ billion
  1. Tether (USDT) $144bn
  2. USD Coin (USDC) $60bn
  3. All other stablecoins $29.2bn
  4. Euro stablecoins (all) $0.48bn
Source: DefiLlama, 30 March 2025.

These figures underscore stablecoins’ significant and persistent role, especially as the crypto market has taken a significant hit by the end of the first quarter of 2025. At the time of writing, the total market cap for cryptocurrencies stood at $2.68 trillion, down from the all-time highs of ~$3.72 trillion at the end of 2024 (around a 28% decrease).

Figure 4 The wider crypto market fell 28% from its end-2024 high Total crypto market capitalisation, US$ trillion
Jan ’18 Jan ’20 Jan ’22 Jan ’24 01234 All crypto 2.68 ~$3.72tn high
Source: CoinMarketCap. Values before 30 March 2025 are read from CoinMarketCap’s chart and approximate.

The current bedrock: why stablecoins already matter

Stablecoins aren’t just waiting for 2025; they are already indispensable in several key areas:

Trading: They are the dominant base pair on global crypto exchanges, allowing traders to move in and out of volatile positions without exiting entirely to fiat, which can be slower and costlier. They facilitate arbitrage opportunities between exchanges and provide a ‘safe haven’ asset during market downturns. Billions of dollars in stablecoins change hands daily, often exceeding Bitcoin’s trading volume.

DeFi’s backbone: Decentralised finance (DeFi) protocols heavily rely on stablecoins for lending, borrowing, providing liquidity, and yield farming. They offer a predictable unit of account essential for complex financial operations executed via smart contracts. A significant portion of the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi is denominated in stablecoins.

Cross-border payments (early stages): For individuals and businesses, particularly in regions with unstable local currencies or high remittance fees, stablecoins offer a potentially faster and cheaper way to transfer value across borders, bypassing traditional banking intermediaries.

Figure 5 Trading, DeFi and payments already run on stablecoins Where stablecoins are already indispensable
Trading

The dominant base pair on exchanges, for moving in and out of positions, arbitrage and a safe haven in downturns.

DeFi’s backbone

Lending, borrowing, liquidity and yield farming. A large share of DeFi’s total value locked is in stablecoins.

Cross-border payments

Faster, cheaper transfers, especially where local currencies are unstable or remittance fees are high.

Source: Signal and Noise, after the original article.

The 2025 catalyst: payments poised for growth

While trading and DeFi have been the primary drivers so far, the potential for stablecoins in everyday payments and seamless value transfer is the key catalyst for potential mainstream adoption in 2025. Several factors are converging:

Solving the volatility problem: Businesses and individuals are hesitant to transact in assets that could drastically change value overnight. Stablecoins directly address this fundamental barrier to using crypto for payments.

Lowering friction — the role of payment providers: This is where key fintech players become crucial.

On/off-ramps like MoonPay: Services like MoonPay are vital infrastructure providers. They act as sophisticated bridges between the traditional financial system (credit cards, bank transfers) and the crypto world. By offering simple APIs and widgets, MoonPay allows countless wallets, exchanges, and applications to easily integrate fiat-to-crypto purchasing. Crucially, this includes buying stablecoins like USDC or USDT directly. In 2025, expect these platforms to become even more deeply embedded, potentially offering direct stablecoin-to-merchant payment rails or facilitating easier stablecoin payouts for businesses and creators globally. Their focus on user experience removes significant friction for onboarding new users into the stablecoin ecosystem.

Merchant processors (BitPay, CoinPayments, etc.): Companies like BitPay have long enabled merchants to accept crypto payments, often instantly converting them to fiat to shield the merchant from volatility. As stablecoin usage grows, these processors will likely see increased demand for direct stablecoin acceptance and settlement, simplifying accounting and reducing conversion steps.

Crypto debit cards: Platforms like Crypto.com, Coinbase, and Binance offer debit cards linked to user crypto accounts. While often converting crypto to fiat at the point of sale, the underlying process frequently involves stablecoins as the intermediary or holding asset, making crypto spending feel seamless (though backend complexities exist). Wider adoption and use of these cards, potentially with enhanced stablecoin features, could normalise digital dollar spending.

Fintech integration: Mainstream fintech giants like PayPal and Block (Cash App) have already integrated basic crypto buy/sell features. PayPal launched its own stablecoin, PayPal USD (PYUSD), signalling a clear intent to play in this space. As these platforms expand their crypto offerings, incorporating stablecoins for payments, peer-to-peer transfers, and potentially DeFi integrations within their familiar apps could expose hundreds of millions of users to stablecoin utility with minimal learning curve.

The regulatory tightrope: MiCA vs the US

Regulation is arguably the single most important factor shaping the trajectory of stablecoins in 2025. The approach, however, differs starkly between major jurisdictions:

European Union — MiCA clarity: The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation provides a comprehensive framework, offering much-needed legal clarity. Key aspects relevant to stablecoins (referred to as asset-referenced tokens (ARTs) and e-money tokens (EMTs)) include:

  • Strict reserve requirements: Issuers of significant stablecoins (especially EMTs pegged to a single fiat currency like the euro or dollar) must hold 1:1, highly liquid reserves, with a portion potentially required to be held in traditional bank deposits.
  • Authorisation and supervision: Issuers need to be authorised as credit institutions or electronic money institutions, subject to stringent prudential requirements and ongoing supervision by national authorities and the European Banking Authority (EBA).
  • Transparency and reporting: Mandatory disclosures about reserve composition, redemption rights, and operational risks.
  • Passporting: Authorised issuers can operate across all EU member states.

MiCA’s stablecoin provisions are expected to be fully applicable by mid-to-late 2024 or early 2025. This clarity, while demanding, could foster trust and encourage legitimate players to establish operations within the EU, potentially making euro-denominated stablecoins more prominent. You can find detailed information on the official EU legislation portal (the legal text is dense; summaries from reputable sources are often easier to digest).

United States: The US regulatory landscape for stablecoins remains complex heading into 2025, but a crypto-favouring administration has taken the government reins. World Liberty Financial has already launched its own stablecoin, and there are hopes that stablecoin legislation is passed and implemented this year.

The GENIUS Act, which seeks to provide a framework for regulating stablecoins, was recently advanced out of the Senate banking committee with bipartisan support. If this Act goes through, banks are expected to start issuing their own stablecoins to make payments faster, cheaper, and more transparent.

Figure 6 The EU chose a full rulebook; the US was still legislating Stablecoin regulation in the EU and US, as of March 2025
European UnionMiCA
Framework

A comprehensive framework treating stablecoins as asset-referenced tokens (ARTs) and e-money tokens (EMTs).

Key requirements
  • 1:1 highly liquid reserves
  • Authorisation as a credit or e-money institution
  • Disclosure of reserves and redemption rights
  • Passporting across the EU
Status, March 2025

Stablecoin provisions applicable; legal clarity, but demanding.

United StatesGENIUS Act
Framework

Complex and fragmented, with a crypto-friendly administration.

Key requirements
  • A framework for regulating stablecoins
  • Banks expected to issue their own stablecoins if passed
Status, March 2025

Advanced out of the Senate banking committee with bipartisan support.

Source: EUR-Lex (MiCA); US Senate Banking Committee, as summarised in the original article.

Bridging TradFi and DeFi: the institutional angle

Beyond retail payments, stablecoins are becoming increasingly attractive to traditional financial (TradFi) institutions:

Settlement efficiency: Banks and financial institutions are exploring stablecoins (or similar tokenised deposits) for faster, cheaper, 24/7 settlement of transactions, bypassing legacy systems like SWIFT for certain use cases. J.P. Morgan’s JPM Coin is an early example of a permissioned, bank-led approach.

Tokenised assets: As real-world assets (stocks, bonds, real estate) become tokenised on blockchains, stablecoins will likely serve as the primary medium of exchange and settlement layer for these new digital markets.

Treasury management: Corporations might start using regulated, yield-bearing stablecoins for treasury management, seeking efficiency and potentially higher returns than traditional money market accounts (though this carries different risks).

Challenges remain on the road to 2025

Despite the optimism, hurdles remain:

Scalability and fees: Transacting stablecoins on congested layer-1 blockchains like Ethereum can still be slow and expensive during peak times, hindering micropayments. Layer-2 scaling solutions are helping, but seamless, cheap transactions across all networks aren’t yet universal.

Centralisation risks: Fiat-backed stablecoins rely on the trustworthiness and operational security of the centralised issuer and the traditional banks holding reserves.

Regulatory arbitrage: Differences in global regulations could be exploited, potentially leading to systemic risks.

User experience (UX): While improving, using crypto wallets and understanding gas fees can still be daunting for non-technical users. Seamless integration into existing apps (via providers like MoonPay or within fintech super-apps) is key.

Security: Smart contract vulnerabilities in DeFi protocols that utilise stablecoins remain a constant threat.

Figure 7 Five things that could still slow stablecoins down Hurdles to mainstream adoption
Scalability and fees

Congested layer-1 chains are slow and costly at peak times; layer 2s help but aren’t universal.

Centralisation

Fiat-backed coins depend on the issuer and the banks holding reserves.

Regulatory arbitrage

Different rules across jurisdictions could be exploited and create systemic risk.

User experience

Wallets and gas fees still daunt non-technical users; embedding in familiar apps is key.

Security

Smart-contract bugs in DeFi protocols that use stablecoins remain a constant threat.

Source: Signal and Noise, after the original article.

A tipping point approaching?

Stablecoins have already proven their utility within the crypto-native economy. The confluence of maturing payment infrastructure powered by fintech innovators like MoonPay, increasing (though geographically uneven) regulatory clarity led by frameworks like MiCA, and growing interest from traditional finance suggests that 2025 could be the year stablecoins take a significant leap towards broader adoption.

They represent a crucial bridge, offering the potential benefits of digital assets – speed, efficiency, programmability – without the deterring volatility. While challenges related to scalability, true decentralisation, and regulatory harmony persist, the groundwork laid over the past few years is substantial. Whether used for seamless cross-border payments, integrated into everyday fintech apps, or settling institutional trades, the “digital dollar” in its various stablecoin forms is poised to play an increasingly prominent role in the financial landscape of 2025 and beyond.

Sources

  1. DefiLlama, stablecoin market caps
  2. CoinMarketCap, total crypto market cap
  3. EUR-Lex, Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA)

The tables behind our charts are in the Data Room.

More stories

Blockchain
The biggest crypto theft ever hit an exchange with no EU licence
Issue 02 · 5 min read
Blockchain
Germany leads Europe’s crypto licences. Remove the banks and it doesn’t.
Issue 01 · 8 min read
Blockchain
Two-thirds of illicit crypto in 2025 went to sanctioned entities
From the archive · 8 min read

Get the next issue by email

One chart that explains Europe, every Sunday. Free.